I wrote this and posted it on a topics of this net. It is talking about the factors that would affect the accuracy of 卦 and some incorrect method of interpretation of 卦象。 Well I paste part of it there for everybody's reference. It matches what Yell's saying.
Accuracy depends on: 1) interpretation method: there are at least 3 methods (易卜、梅花心易、卜筮) to interprete a 卦. Application of different methods will render different implications, sometimes may even be opposite. If you want to ask which is the best, I would say all of them are. It is because 卦 acquired also varies with acquisition methods (tossing coins, the moment triggered, randomly pickup with computer, etc.). 2) reality. If you ask ‘Is there anyone dare to claim his interpretation history is 100% accurate (never ever wrong)?’ . I dont think you would get one ‘yes’. It is because ‘100% accurate’ is unrealistic (usually we say the 卦 is not accurate in this case). If someone claims he has 90% accurate in record, I would say he is fairly accurate.
I also believe the 卦 acquired varies with the interpretation method exercised by the person who gets it. Hence, I will toss my own coins when I desire to predict critical issue. Personally, my interpretation is in accord with Herman’s and Johnny’s because the implication is so obvious in view of 卜筮 (my interpretation drawn is different based on another 卦 in different topic). As a consequence, I would jump to the conclusion that your 卦 is not accurate and is the cause of the wrong implication at this time.
Herman
發表於： 2004/11/04 07:21pm
[這篇文章最後由Herman在 2004/11/05 00:31am 第 5 次編輯]
下面引用由Athena在 2004/11/04 05:57pm 發表的內容： Thank you all for responding to this thread. Congratulations to 小藍 ! Your interpretation is correct. I'm impressed. 地山謙, were you trying to have it both ways ? Herman and Johnnyng, wh ...
We are not god. 卦 is not 100% correct. Even you could analyse the 卦象, it might not be 100% correct. If the 卦 did not match the reality, then it would give out incorrect 象. Never mind, I would continue to do research on the correct way on analysis of 卦象. The most important thing is not just give out an answer "yes" or "no". it is a matter of probability only. Whatever how you say about the 卦，we both have 50/50 chance to get the correct answer. What I concern is how to read out the whole 卦象. It is my aim. Very happy to have communication with overseas.
Athena
發表於： 2004/11/04 05:57pm
Thank you all for responding to this thread.
Congratulations to 小藍 ! Your interpretation is correct. I'm impressed.
地山謙, were you trying to have it both ways ?
Herman and Johnnyng, what went wrong ?
David, I believe your so-called 100% accuracy mainly applies to historical, and perhaps current, events. I think it is quite impossible to be perfectly accurate in forecasting what is going to happen in the future using I-Ching. I-Ching may be a book full of logic, wisdom and common sense, but most of its content is trying to have things both ways, i.e. it often gives positive and negative signs/words at the same time. This leaves plenty of room for subjective interpretations. Evidently, the postings under this and other threads regarding the re-election of George Bush serve to prove my point. And so, for now, to me, as a forecasting tool, I-Ching the Book of Change remains not much different from a Book of Craps!
小藍
發表於： 2004/11/04 04:29pm
下面引用由Athena在 2004/11/02 10:33pm 發表的內容： Yes, Herman, I'm longing to see the election outcome! The 2004 race for the White House is again quite exciting since the two candidates are virtually running neck-to-neck with incumbent Bush ...
