-- 作者： 文人 -- 發表時間： 2006/01/08 09:06pm "We shouldn't read too much into the shape of yield curves. [S]ince World War II, flattenings of yield curves, as measured by the difference between rates on 3-month and 10-year government debt in the five largest economies - the United States, Japan, Germany, Britain and France - have issued false alarms of recession 38 percent of the time." http://www.nytimes.com/2006/01/08/business/yourmoney/08view.html -- 作者： unclesam -- 發表時間： 2006/01/09 01:18pm [quote][b]下面引用由[u]文人[/u]在 [i]2006/01/08 09:06pm[/i] 發表的內容：[/b] "We shouldn't read too much into the shape of yield curves. ince World War II, flattenings of yield curves, as measured by the difference between rates on 3-month and 10-year government  ... [/quote] the result... yes. but the problem is the market sentiment.   institutional investors will use this factor to drive the market... that's the point.