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Wall Street May Earn $24 Billion as Banks Emerge From Scandals
Last Updated: November 9, 2005 00:02 EST
Nov. 9 (Bloomberg) -- After paying more than $12 billion in fines and settlements over four years, Wall Street firms including Goldman Sachs Group Inc. and Lehman Brothers Holdings Inc. are headed for their biggest profits since 2000.
The U.S. securities industry will earn at least $24 billion before taxes in 2005, said Frank Fernandez, chief economist at the Securities Industry Association. Executives at the group's annual meeting, starting today in Boca Raton, Florida, will ``undoubtedly'' be more optimistic than last year, he said.
``As far as the scandals are concerned, that's largely been put behind us and the fines are mostly paid,'' said Robert Torray, who oversees about $6 billion at Bethesda, Maryland- based Robert E. Torray & Co., including shares of Goldman, JPMorgan Chase & Co. and Bank of America Corp. ``It may be a lot of money, but it's not enough to put a dent in the business.''
Goldman, Lehman, Merrill Lynch & Co. and Bear Stearns Cos., all based in New York, reported record third-quarter earnings as bond trading surged and banks advised on $942 billion of U.S. mergers, data compiled by Bloomberg show. Merrill's brokerage unit is having its best second half in five years. Charles Schwab Corp., with more than $1 trillion in customer assets, reaped the biggest third-quarter profit since 2000's Internet- fueled heights.
The 12-member Amex Securities Broker-Dealer Index jumped 22 percent so far in 2005. The Standard & Poor's 500 Index rose less than 1 percent.
``Business is picking up,'' said Gordon Hing, 71, chairman of Emmett A. Larkin Co. in San Francisco, which processes trades for brokers. ``We're optimistic for 2006.''
Mutual Fund Crackdown
A year ago, executives gathered in Florida after mutual funds such as Boston-based Putnam Investments and Janus Capital Group Inc. in Denver agreed to pay almost $3 billion in fines and restitution for improper trading, the result of a regulatory crackdown spearheaded by New York Attorney General Eliot Spitzer.
That was on top of the $10 billion that New York-based Citigroup Inc. and firms including Credit Suisse First Boston and Merrill paid or set aside for regulatory probes of biased stock research and the bankruptcies of Enron Corp. and WorldCom Inc.
While those investigations have been completed, another has begun. Refco Inc., once the largest independent U.S. futures broker, collapsed a week after its chief executive was arrested for securities fraud. The now-bankrupt company raised $670 million in an August initial public offering led by Bank of America in Charlotte, North Carolina, Goldman and CSFB, the investment banking unit of Credit Suisse AG in Zurich, Switzerland. Spokespeople at the three firms declined to comment.
Last year's SIA gathering invoked the banner ``Commitment to Clarity.'' This year, it's ``Creating Opportunities.''
``Lessons have been learned and we've moved on,'' said Fernandez of the SIA. ``We've had a very good year. It may be an exceptional year, depending on how the fourth quarter goes.''
Bonuses
The increase in profits mean bonuses for New York-based employees of securities firms will be about 10 percent higher than in 2004, or $17.5 billion, according to compensation consultants. Last year, Wall Street firms awarded about $15.9 billion, said New York State Comptroller Alan Hevesi.
Most of the biggest firms pay about 50 percent of revenue in compensation, and bonuses can be as much as 12 times base salaries.
Investment bankers and executives who cater to hedge funds can expect a 20 percent rise in their bonus this year, according to a report yesterday by compensation consulting firm Johnson Associates Inc. A typical managing director at an investment bank will probably take home about a $1.2 million bonus this year, compared with the average award of $1.5 million at the market's peak in 2000 and $1.05 million last year, the report said.
``The impressive financial performance delivered by the major brokerage and investment firms in the third quarter should solidify a third consecutive year of higher incentives,'' Alan Johnson, the firm's president, said in the report.
Cox, Thain, Glauber
This week's gathering in Florida may provide clues to the direction of the Securities and Exchange Commission under its new chairman, Christopher Cox, who is scheduled to address the gathering on Nov. 11. Cox will speak on ``pressing issues'' confronting the securities industry, according to the SIA schedule, which wasn't more specific.
Other speakers at the three-day event include John Thain, the former Goldman president who became chief executive officer of the New York Stock Exchange in January 2004; Robert Glauber, chairman of market regulator NASD Inc.; and James Gorman, who will take over New York-based Morgan Stanley's individual investor unit in February. It's the first time in at least three years that a CEO of a Wall Street firm hasn't been lined up to speak.
Comedian Dennis Miller, 52, is scheduled to entertain conference attendees tonight as they gather at the Boca Raton Resort & Club, established in 1926 on 356 acres that has two golf courses, six swimming pools and 30 tennis courts.
Brokers Benefit
``Market conditions for securities firms are probably as ideal as they could get,'' said Bob Stein, 56, chairman of the global financial services group at Ernst & Young in New York. ``Merger activity is up, stock offerings are up, trading businesses are doing well. There have been a lot of regulatory issues, but underlying performance hasn't been impacted negatively.''
New York-based Merrill, the world's biggest brokerage, last month said third-quarter revenue at its private client arm, which caters to individuals, was $2.7 billion, the most since the fourth quarter of 2000. Schwab, based in San Francisco, said third-quarter revenue climbed to $1.1 billion, also a five-year high. Merrill Lynch is a passive, minority investor in Bloomberg LP, the parent of Bloomberg News.
Margin loans, offered by brokerages to clients seeking to finance securities purchases, have rebounded to levels not seen since 2000 and totaled $218 billion among all member firms in the month of September, the NYSE reported.
At Boston-based Fidelity Investments, the world's largest mutual fund firm, daily trades on which it collects commissions rose 61 percent in the third quarter, the highest quarterly average since the second quarter of 2000.
A.G. Edwards Inc., which has about 7,000 brokers, said second-quarter revenue rose 10 percent from a year earlier to $673 million. The St. Louis-based company said revenue from commissions rose 8 percent as customers traded stocks more frequently.
To contact the reporter on this story:A3:k(U
Gregory Cresci in New York at gcresci@bloomberg.net.^k(IM
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